26 March 2008
Is Clear Channel really being clear? Do they really expect the Federal
Communications Commission to censor satellite radio? Apparently that's
part of what the broadcasting giant is proposing to the FCC as one of the
conditions of a merger between XM and Sirius that has already been approved
by the Justice Department. Why? Because Clear Channel, which
is itself in the process of being taken private by Bain Capital, believes
that it will be easier to compete with a merged satcaster if all those bad
words Howard Stern uses were to be silenced. The market for expletives,
pornography and toilet humor is just so great that no decent programming
can possibly compete head-to-head. While this argument is of dubious
value at best, let's accept it at face value. This means that in order
to compete on a level field, Clear Channel needs to restrain satellite radio.
In other words, no Howard Stern. But there is another solution.
Untie the hands of the terrestrial broadcasters on HD Radio. Allow
them to use whatever language they wish, anytime they wish on their digital
subcarriers. This would, of course, require the FCC to change their
decency rules but that's certainly within reason. The decency rules
have been around since Marconi and it's about time they were changed anyway.
HD Radio broadcasts are the ideal way to do it. Since the HD
signal is digital the case could easily be made that the content is not readily
available to the general public. Besides, if digital HD Radio could
say the kinds of things that just can't be said on analog radio this might
provide the kind of incentive for customers to buy-in to the new technology
without restraining the satcasters. It's an idea worth considering.
10 February 2008
What's wrong with HD Radio? According to a recent report by Inside
Media, 2007 wasn't really the "breakthrough year" heralded by iBiquity. Instead,
the sale of over 300,000 units was really just a "drop in the bucket" compared
with the size of the overall market. If that's true then the folks at
the HD Digital Radio Alliance can only look ahead to this year and hope that
maybe this is the long awaited "big one." But what is the real motivation
for HD Radio sales? Can it be CONTENT? Apparently the geniuses
in the National Association of Broadcasters think HD Radios will just fly
off the shelves because the technology is so good. Therefore most stations
can just broadcast the same stuff on their HD subchannels that they broadcast
via their standard FM or AM signals. And this is what most of them
do. The "HD" light turns on but the listeners don't. There's no
special programming. No local news or sports. No live performances
from local venues. No promotions for local artists. No reggae,
bluegrass, jazz, blues or comedy. Just the same old stuff. Fortunately,
the sad current state of affairs offers a unique opportunity for the NAB to
build a national network of HD content targeted specifically at Sirius and
XM. The channels of this network can be similar to those offered by
the satcasters but broadcast on various HD subchannels in each market. Such
a network would offer direct, head-to-head competition for satellite radio
with no subscription charge. It would be different. It would
be lively. It would be creative. And it might just give HD Radio
a real "breakthrough year."
27 January 2008
Fairness. It's not just a word but a policy. And it may have
something to do with why it's taking so long for the proposed merger between
Sirius and XM to be approved. Why? Because the "Fairness Doctrine"
is something that has been imposed on broadcasters in the past to prevent
them from presenting only one political point of view. If a station
carries Rush Limbaugh it has to carry Al Franken. If it carries Michael
Savage it has to carry Janeane Garofalo. This is the policy that had
been in effect until the mid-1980s. It's the reason there were no
political talk shows prior to that time. Establishing a loyal audience
for programming representing two separate and distinct points of view is
just too difficult for broadcasters, who can generate more income by simply
turning to music, sports talk and comedy. So let's return to the present
where there is now serious consideration in the political community of bringing
back the Fairness Doctrine. For the reason previously described this
would pretty much eliminate political talk programming on the terrestrial
airwaves. The satcasters, however, can offer another option. Because
both Sirius and XM have channels catering to both liberal and conservative
points of view they can easily satisfy the Fairness Doctrine without having
to alter their programming. And this is something that just has to
be apparent to the Federal Communications Commission and the Department
of Justice as they ponder the merger.
28 December 2007
Somebody finally gets it. The folks at iBiquity are asking that
the Federal Communications Commission require that XM and Sirius incorporate
HD Radio receivers into all satellite radios as part of their proposed merger.
This is the first move in the right direction for terrestrial broadcasters.
HD Radio technology offers them an ideal way to compete directly with
the satcasters without fighting the merger. It is also a great step
forward in upgrading audio technology for all of the listening community.
If HD Radio simply comes with all satellite receivers listeners will
have a true choice. They can pay for satellite radio or listen to HD
Radio for free. The move also motivates terrestrial broadcasters to
upgrade to HD because they get to piggyback HD Radio receiver sales onto
the satellite radio marketing machine. In addition, with the introduction
of iTunes Tagging by Apple, the XM/Sirius/HD receiver has the capability
of offering listeners a true smorgasbord of listening and recording enjoyment.
This is the kind of competition that is capable of opening the marketplace
to new sounds, new artists and new ideas. iBiquity should be congratulated.
24 November 2007
They must be kidding! Does the National Association of Broadcasters
really expect us to believe that there is some kind of groundswell of public
opinion against the Sirius/XM merger? Apparently the esteemed organization
has been sending out bogus email notes to the Federal Communications Commission
stating some kind of opposition to the proposed deal. They're making
two mistakes. The first is thinking that nobody would bother to investigate.
Wrong! The Washington Post did and had a hard time finding
any alleged objectors. The second mistake is actually thinking that
there is anyone out there who even cares enough about the merger to bother
to object. Face it, the only ones who really care about the Sirius/XM
merger are satellite radio enthusiasts and the National Association of Broadcasters.
Sure, there are other voices but they are mostly on the side of the
merger, and for good reason. Informed individuals know that a healthy
satellite radio business is good for the telecommunications industry in
general. By pushing the envelope of technology, satellite radio helps
cultivate a market for all kinds of technology. Internet radio, podcasting,
Slacker, Pandora and, yes NAB, HD Radio all depend on a healthy and competitive
environment to stimulate the marketplace. So stop kidding and start
competing. It's the best path for everyone ... even the NAB.
15 October 2007
"A dog ate my homework!" That's a common protest heard from many
a youngster trying to explain a missing assignment. It's an example
of a cheap excuse, something made up at the last minute in an attempt to
avoid an undesirable outcome. Unfortunately, it's the kind of tactic
currently being pursued by the National Association of Broadcasters in their
attempt to stop the merger between XM and Sirius. In case you haven't
heard, the NAB is asking the Federal Communications Commission to suspend
its consideration of the proposed merger so that it can go through documents
obtained under the Freedom of Information Act (see RUsirius.com news story
dated 12 October 2007). The situation is clearly getting desperate
for the NAB as they feverishly attempt to derail what they see as an imminent
threat to their business. But why? Is the NAB telling us that
they feel they can't compete with a unified satellite radio organization?
If this is true it's only because terrestrial broadcasters refuse
to compete on a level playing field with the satcasters. And the issue
is content. The NAB somehow believes that its members cannot compete
because they don't have content that lives up to the standards set by the
boys in New York and Washington. This is an insult to their listeners.
Terrestrial broadcasters need to provide the kind of programming that
can't be offered on a national basis. This means shows specifically
tailored to the tastes of their local communities and promoting local artists,
sporting events and businesses. Prior to the development of HD Radio
this may have been difficult. But the new technology offers local broadcasters
opportunities they've never had before. They can broadcast concerts
from local clubs and theaters. They can provide different kinds of
music ... jazz, blues, bluegrass. The kinds of things the satcasters
are providing but tailored to the local audience. They can even broadcast
shows on the Internet for global consumption, making use of "iTunes Tagging"
(see RUsirius.com story dated 12 September 2007). They just need to
get busy, stop whining, and start competing. There's still a world
out there for terrestrial radio. Explore it. Woof!
16 September 2007
There seems to be an endless supply of organizations and arguments against
the proposed merger between Sirius and XM. The latest comes from
the American Consumer Institute. The organization is claiming that
since the satcasters control the distribution of programming like Howard
Stern, Opie and Anthony and Martha Stewart there is really no competition
from other sources. This is like saying that David Letterman has a
monopoly on top ten lists. Even if it's true, so what. Despite
the fact that nationally distributed programs may only be available via
satellite, not everyone wants these programs. Those who do can elect
to pay the satcasters for them. Those who don't can choose to listen
to competing programs using conventional radio, the internet or HD Radio.
Yes, there is an alternative to satellite radio for those wishing to
find it. Wi-Fi is available in hotels, bars, restaurants, coffee shops
and gas stations across the country. Eventually "hot spots" are going
to be made available over wide areas, permitting listeners to tune in to
internet radio wherever they may be. Conventional radio may not appear
to be offering much competition at the time but this condition is going to
have to improve. Why? Because the terrestrial broadcasters are
going to have to come up with something to attract listeners away from other
media. And they even have the technology to compete head-to-head. The
technology is HD Radio. The American Consumer Institute says it wants
competition based on current technology and programming. But technology
is continually evolving. To constrain the market based on what is currently
possible is shortsighted. There are always new ideas. And that
is the real competition.
28 July 2007
Come one, come all! It's satellite radio's new "a la carte"
menu. Pay less, get less -- only the channels you want. This
is the approach being taken by XM and Sirius to get the Federal Communications
Commission to approve their proposed merger. It may be a reach but
it's good business. Why should someone who only listens to classical
music want to pay for Howard Stern? Why should sports fans pay for
jazz? Just give the customers what they want and reduce their monthly
bills. But let's extend this idea and make satellite radio even more
competitive. Why can't Mellow Mel & Company offer a limited set
of channels that are free and are supported by commercials? This is
an idea that has been suggested on this website as early as 2004 (see RUsirius.com
mail message dated 19 January 2004). Perhaps the time has now come.
A few, say a dozen, channels offered free of charge but with commercials
would provide an enticement to prospective subscribers to pay a small monthly
fee to get a little more. From those who don't care to subscribe the
merged company could still generate income through advertising. The
only hurdle would be that imposed by the FCC since one of the provisions
of satellite radio's license is that it be by subscription only. But
Sirius has already circumvented this provision by offering lifetime subscriptions.
The FCC could even control the content of the free channels to prevent
the use of four-letter words and lewd suggestions. In other words,
no Howard Stern Show, a program already supported by...commercials.
14 July 2007
In his puerile song "The Soft Parade" Jim Morrison talks of foolishly
petitioning the Lord with prayer. The National Association of Broadcasters
is now petitioning the Federal Communications Commission with a jejune
piece of prose aimed derailing the proposed merger between XM and Sirius.
Appealing to "long-standing Commission policies against spectrum monopolies,"
the NAB wants the FCC to prohibit the deal. Why, we should ask, does
the merger have anything to do with spectrum monopolies? Both satcasters
offer a wide variety of entertainment, news, and commentary. Neither
satcaster assumes a specific political position on any subject. Both
provide the kind of programming that members of the NAB have refused to
broadcast in their continual quest for cash. In the terrestrial world
inhabited by the NAB there is a de facto monopoly created by an organization
that allows all of its members to do the exact same thing on multiple stations
in the same markets. There are thousands of radio stations all owned
by the same companies like ClearChannel and Bonneville. It's a good
deal for the NAB and they want to keep it going. Wouldn't you?
9 June 2007
"Imagination is more important than knowledge," said Albert Einstein.
This is a quote that has apparently never been seen by anyone at
the National Association of Broadcasters. Their president is resorting
to letter writing to Mel Karmazin in an attempt to get Sirius and XM to
abandon their merger plans.
President David Rehr
's comment that "gains resulting from a merger of Sirius and
XM will largely accrue to Wall Street and the companies' executives and
not African-American, Latino or other programmers or consumers," looks
like an attempt to rally the support of minorities to the NAB cause. What
cause? The defeat of the "big bad corporations" who want to
consolidate the satcasters, crank up the subscription fees and deny the
public access to specialty programming. If they had any imagination,
the NAB would realize that if the scenario they say they fear plays out
it would afford them a unique opportunity. Terrestrial broadcasters,
through their new HD Radio technology, could offer the public creative and
innovative programming tailored to a variety of audiences ... without any
monthly fees. Instead, they have decided to fight the Sirius/XM merger
in the hope that by preventing the satcasters from consolidating they will
eventually force both of them into bankruptcy. Terrestrial broadcasters
would then once again be able to dominate the industry as they always have.
What a brilliant idea! But then again, they ain't no rocket
surgeons.
3 May 2007
There are currently four ways to deliver music to the mass market:
analog terrestrial radio, HD Radio, satellite radio, and Internet radio.
A recent decision by the U.S. Copyright Royalty Board threatens
to remove one of them. By raising the royalty fee paid by Internet
broadcasters the CRB is effectively putting many if not all Internet webcasters
out of business. The decision is misguided and has been made in the
belief that Internet radio listeners can digitally reproduce webcasts and
sell the content at a profit in violation of copyright laws. There
are three problems with this line of reasoning. First of all, few
if any webcasters play an entire recording uninterrupted, making it difficult
if not impossible for a copyright violator to collect all the selections
from a single recording and re-market it. Secondly, even if copyright
violators were routinely copying and reselling material the distribution
of music on the Internet represents a valuable distribution and marketing
tool for the music industry. They may not think so but the more a
particular recording is heard, the more interest there is. This eventually
translates into sales. Finally, webcasts represent a primary means
of downloading iPods and other devices. In addition, webcasters provide
a market for music and information that would not otherwise be heard. Significantly
increasing the royalties paid by webcasters does more than just raise
a little cash and eliminate what is perceived as an annoyance. It
reduces competition. And that is what the CRB decision is really
all about.
22 April 2007
Competition. It's a word with at least two meanings --
competition for money, competition for ideas. The National Association
of Broadcasters, in its quest to quash the merger between Sirius and
XM, has elected to emphasize competition for money. The satcaster
merger eliminates competition for money and therefore constitutes a monopoly.
But what about competition for ideas. Each satcaster has hundreds
of channels operating in separate frequency bands. It's unlikely
that any of these channels will merge. The only merger is between
the operating companies. It would be just like terrestrial radio where
companies like Clear Channel and Infinity own hundreds of stations, each
with a different content and format.
Wait a minute! Did we say terrestrial radio? Yes, the terrestrial broadcasters have had it this way for years and nobody has ever said a word about competition, at least not competition for money. When it comes to competition for ideas, however, the situation is a lot different. There is very little competition for ideas because the terrestrial broadcasters all feature the same programming, the same artists, and sometimes even the same shows via syndication. They all compete for a larger share in the same market. That's why every radio market in the nation has at least two country stations, contemporary rock, classic rock, half a dozen news stations and little else. Nobody wants to hear about jazz, blues, bluegrass, classical, reggae or numerous other musical genres. Not even all the syndicated programs can be heard in every market. But because no single company owns all the stations in one market competition is said to exist. There is no monopoly.
But what if one station in a single market decided to change its programming dramatically. Maybe a local country station would switch to blues or bluegrass. Could this ever happen in today's market? No, because of the fear factor associated with a format switch. Would the new programming find an audience? Could the station sell commercials? Would the station be able to continue to make money? Any kind of a switch from the status quo could is just too risky. At least that is the common belief among broadcasters. And that's where satellite radio enters the scene.
Because satellite radio is programmed nationally rather than regionally it has the advantage of being able to take a format risk. Various kinds of programming can be made available because the satcasters can offset small audiences with larger ones. Sirius, for example, can offer jazz and blues programming as long as it has Howard Stern and the NFL. Local broadcasters haven't been able to do this. Until now. With the entry of HD Radio, local broadcasters can provide interesting and innovative programming on a digital subcarrier and offset the small audience until it grows into a bigger one. The local country station can broadcast bluegrass in one of its HD subcarriers. A local rocker can have an HD blues channel. Because everything is digital, the audio signal is just as good as satellite radio except for one thing. It's free.
So terrestrial radio has a very effective way of competing with
the satcasters. It can choose to offer new programming, broadcast
in digital, and emphasize to its audience that it's all free. There
is no subscription charge, no hidden cost. Just purchase an HD receiver
for $100 and start listening. But the National Association of Broadcasters
would rather stop the merger between Sirius and XM in the expectation that
the satcasters will ultimately fail and everybody can go back to business
as usual. It's like Theodorik of York, the old Steve Martin gag on
SNL. "Can this be the beginning of a new era in broadcasting, where
everyone gets to hear new music, new formats, new personalities? Can
it be that radio will finally emerge from years of decline? Could satellite
and terrestrial radio co-exist and offer listeners true competition for
ideas?. Nah!! Let's just sue the bastards and hope they'll
go away."
12 April 2007
One of the things that Ronald Reagan understood was that people
didn't like getting pushed around. This is particularly relevant
in the broadcasting business, especially in the case of radio personality
Don Imus. The perpetually indignant man, who has made a fortune
making fun of everyone, including himself, is now in the process of being
unceremoniously kicked off television and maybe even radio. Why?
Because he and his staff made a few comments about a women's basketball
team. His comments were rude and insensitive and should not have
been made. They were also funny if taken properly. As he himself
told Al Sharpton, he is not a social critic, a writer or a journalist. He
is an entertainer. During a career spanning over 35 years he has
given many of us a reason to laugh while fighting traffic and a topic
of discussion at the water cooler. And he didn't like getting pushed
around. It may be time for him to get Sirius.
4 April 2007
As Butch Cassidy said to the Sundance Kid, "Who are these
guys?" Regular visitors to this site have known that it has
been posting a link to the Consumer Coalition for Competition in Satellite
Radio (C3SR). A putatively noble cause, this organization seeks
to keep the satcasters honest by promoting healthy competition in
the industry. Recently, however, it has been learned that the
National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) has been funding C3SR
although they won't acknowledge by what amount. This development
may not be as bad as it looks but it is still indicative of a desire
by terrestrial broadcasters to return to the old way of doing business,
when they owned the market. They apparently think that by stopping
the merger between Sirius and XM they can get rid of satellite radio altogether,
not a bad strategy considering that Mel Karmazin has said that the primary
reason for the merger is survival.
Unfortunately, one of the benefits of satellite radio is
that its presence forces terrestrial broadcasters to provide more interesting
and creative technology and programming. We're already starting
to see this with the development of HD Radio and the introduction of
locally-oriented programming on HD channels. This offers a reasonable
alternative to satellite radio and and environment in which both the
terrestrial broadcasters and the satcasters benefit. Listeners
get to choose whether to listen to local radio personalities and formats
or to listen to national and international programming via satellite.
The choices can be expected to increase the general interest level
in the medium and raise the overall customer base. This, in turn,
may eventually result in a fee reduction by the satcasters as they attempt
to attract more listeners away from HD Radio.
If the NAB, by funding C3SR, expects to kill satellite radio
it means that they have all but abandoned any attempt to compete by
improving the quality of their product. Instead, they want to
go back to doing what they have always done best which is to provide the
same dull programming in all their markets as they compete for a bigger
and bigger piece of the same pie. Keep the money trench open and don't
worry about the listeners. If you're the only show in town, they'll
show up. If the folks at C3SR are really an organization dedicated
to keeping the satcasters honest by promoting competition, they're worthy
of our support. If they're just a front for the NAB, shame on them.
The listening public deserves better than this.
15 March 2007
"Beware the Ides of March" Caesar was warned. Those
of us interested in satellite radio may want to take this warning to
heart as well. The recent exaggerated
reporting
of subscriber statistics by XM Canada may just be an isolated
incident or it may be part of a general trend. What XM Canada
has chosen to do is to report as subscribers satellite receivers that
have been installed in vehicles by their manufacturers, even before
they have hit the showrooms. At best this is called an "accounting
anomaly." At worst, this is called "cooking the books" and it has
led to the downfall of Enron and Boston Chicken and to indictment against
boxing promoter Don King. What makes matters worse is that drivers
have been the principal target of the satellite radio industry from its
inception. Any trend toward artificially inflating the number of
vehicular listeners can have a negative impact in the marketplace. Satcasters
already get to count as subscribers drivers who have recently purchased
an automobile or truck with a satellite radio pre-installed by the
manufacturer. These installations generally come with a free
three-month subscription. The problem is that these subscriptions
are not always renewed. Unfortunately the industry is too new to
evaluate listener statistics with any degree of significance. Activities
such as those now practiced by XM Canada only add to the confusion.
What's next? Reporting as listeners former subscribers who
have died? What the hell! Dead people have been voting in
Chicago for years. Maybe even Caesar.
11 March 2007
It seems there's a lot of fear out there in terrestrial
radioland. The belief is that the immense sums of money associated
with satellite radio will easily overwhelm the meager resources of
local broadcasters, even with the addition of HD technology. A
recent article in the
Indianapolis Business Journal
echoes the concerns of media consultants who are apparently
obsessed with programming such as Howard Stern, Oprah and Major League
Baseball. What the consultants don't seem to realize is that
this is the kind of programming that got radio into trouble in the first
place: too many stations playing the same music, news, commentary and
sports. Local radio owners mindlessly pursued the same programming
hoping to milk the market for whatever they could get. They now must
realize that with the advent of HD Radio they have the opportunity to
provide the kinds of programming that can't be provided by the satcasters,
all from a local prospective and all free.
8 March 2007
It is worth noting that terrestrial radio is fighting
back. The latest move, the sale of HD receivers at Wal-Mart,
can be expected to contribute significantly to the public's awareness
of HD Radio as well as to provide a larger listener base. Because
HD Radio is supported by but independent of terrestrial radio it has
the capability to provide not only digital clarity but the kind of
independent programming currently only supported by satellite radio.
In addition, because HD broadcasters are local rather than national,
they have the capability to focus on local issues and communities. A
good example of what can be done with the new medium is
Pride Radio
, a station catering specifically to the Gay community
in North Texas. If programming like this is possible, it should
also be possible for HD broadcasters in other areas to cater to local
news and events, local musicians and comedians, and local political
activities. This does not mean that HD Radio can replace satellite
radio as a medium. The national satcasters have big budgets and
are capable of providing the kind of programming not possible on the
local level. Nevertheless, there is a place for HD Radio, perhaps
a significant one. Unlike satellite radio it's friendly, familiar
and free.
26 February 2007
"Imagine being able to drive from Los Angeles to the
Canadian border while listening to the radio and never having to
change the station. Great, but who really does this?" Thus
began a commentary on this website in 2000, when RUsirius.com was just
getting started. Now, it seems, satellite radio is realizing that
it has do do a little more than just provide technology in order to compete.
What it has to do is to provide content that competes effectively
with terrestrial radio. And, at least in local markets, it now has
to deal with HD Radio, a technology that can provide the same sound quality
as satellite radio and with no monthly fees. There is also internet
broadcasting, iPods and other MPEG storage systems. The response
from the satcasters is to merge in order to make their systems more cost
effective but is this enough? Check out the recent editorial from
Newsday
.
20 February 2007
Laissez les bon temps rouler! Get out the costumes,
blow the horns and hit the bars! It’s Mardi Gras 2007 and the moguls
at Sirius and XM have announced their merger plans. Good for them!
Now maybe they can get down to the business of running satellite radio
as a legitimate competitor with terrestrial broadcasters.
Terrestrial broadcasters? In case you haven’t noticed, the National Association of Broadcasters has been quietly introducing its latest technology, designed specifically to compete with satellite radio. The HD Radio Alliance, an organization affiliated with digital radio innovator iBiquity, has been gradually installing HD modulators in radio transmitters across the country. And the trend is continuing, with automakers like BMW actively jumping on the bandwagon. The technology promises to provide the same quality of sound possible with satellite radio, and potentially the same variety of entertainment. HD Radio, you see, provides two digital subcarriers for each FM and AM station that signs onto the program. This means that each market can provide listeners not only with digital quality sound but also with innovative music and talk programming that until a year ago could only be spacecast. The drawback, of course, is that there are commercials and, of course, no profanity. But for those of you who don’t particularly care to hear the occasional F-bomb HD Radio offers a reasonable alternative to XM and Sirius. And here’s a real selling point: it’s free.
Naturally the Federal Communications Commission together with the Department of Justice are expected to attempt to strike down the proposed Sirius/XM merger. Their problem is that the union of the two satcasters would eliminate competition. If one takes a careful look at the overall state of the broadcasting business, however, one immediately observes that the competition is exactly what should be: terrestrial radio. This observation should lead the Government regulators, or at least the courts, to the logical conclusion that the merger between Sirius and XM should be allowed to proceed.
So all’s well that end’s well, right? Not exactly.
The merger between Sirius and XM eliminates competition within the
satellite radio business. Although HD Radio offers significant
competition to the business as a whole, the quality of the satellite
content can be expected to decline as the united satcaster consolidates
its assets and reduces its talent pool. This means less variety and
fewer choices for the listener. Unfortunately the alternative could
be worse: the end of satellite radio. The radio listening community
has some tough decisions to make over the next several years. The
choices are exciting but the path may very well lead to an environment
similar to what we have today: lots of stations all broadcasting the
same programming in an attempt to maximize profitability and to expand
the bottom line. Let the word get out. The money trench is officially
open for business. Plus ca change…
Copyright 2007 RUsirius.com